A few years ago, on my birthday, I quickly checked the visitor stats for a little side project I had started (r-exercises.com). Instead of the usual 2 or 3 live visitors, there were hundreds. It looked odd to me—more like a glitch—so I quickly returned to the party, serving food and drinks to my guests.
Later, while cleaning up after the party, I remembered the unusual spike in visitors and decided to check again. To my surprise, there were still hundreds of live visitors. The total visitor count for the day was around 10,000. After tracking down the source, I discovered that a really kind person had shared the directory/landing page I had created just a few days earlier—right here on Hacker News. It had made it to the front page, with around 200 upvotes and 40 comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12153811
For me, the value of hitting the HN front page was twofold. First, it felt like validation for my little side project, and it encouraged me to take it more seriously (despite having a busy daily schedule as a freelance data scientist). But perhaps more importantly, it broadened my horizons and introduced me to a whole new world of information, ideas, and discussions here on HN.
Gee, today is my birthday (36). I've never managed to get anything I've built to the HN front page. Always wondered if that means my ideas just weren’t that interesting, or if it's just the luck of the draw.
*edited my original comment without mentioning my project*
I think I've been on the HN front page something like 30 times now since August 2021, with maybe half of those hitting it out of the park and lingering for over a day.
There are real diminishing returns in terms of follow-up traffic and follow-up effects. As to be expected, but it's worth keeping in mind that this is something that generally happens over time as the novelty of whatever you're writing about wears off. The good part is that as part of this you'll gradually get more regular readers, so there's less pronounced feast-or-famine cycles.
(Here I don't measure visits as there's so much bot traffic noise especially on anything that hits HN, but mostly focus on whether I get actual engagement, if people reach out to me, send me emails and so on)
I think ultimately a blog post isn't interesting because it's on HN, it's on HN because it's interesting.
Tryharding with regards to the HN frontpage is more likely to come at a cost of writing quality, and thus reducing the likelihood of making the front page.
I have a model that, given a headline, predicts if the story will get >10 votes. It’s a terrible model, for a few reasons. The most fundamental is that if the same article is submitted 10 times it could get wildly different scores, that’s the way it does. The tail end of the model [1] is logistic regression because it deals gracefully with this kind of situation. I wish I knew how to treat this as a regression problem (predict the score), there is probably a better loss function than what I use, but when I treat it at as a regression problem I get an even worse model.
The highest score this model ever gives is 70% for something like “Richard Stallman is dead”
I have another model that predicts If the comment/score ratio > 0.5 which is about the average for the site. This is a much better model, close to the first recommender models I made. Trained on articles with score > 10 the input is less noisy for one thing. It’s how a learned y’all like to talk about cars.
This is a transcript of a talk by Darius Kazemi at what appears to be a creative conference (likely XOXO). The talk is structured as an elaborate metaphor comparing creative success to winning the lottery.
## The Setup: "How I Won the Lottery"
Kazemi begins with a fictional story about becoming obsessed with lottery numbers as a child, eventually quitting his job at Lehman Brothers to focus full-time on lottery playing with a community of fellow enthusiasts. He claims this led to winning $140 million, complete with showing his "winning numbers" (lots of 9s and 3s) to the audience.
## The Reveal: Creative Success is Like the Lottery
He then reveals this was all a metaphor for how successful creative people typically tell their stories. The real message: *beyond a certain threshold of effort, creative success is largely random and out of your control*.
## Supporting Evidence
Kazemi demonstrates this through his own work creating "weird internet stuff" (Twitter bots and internet art):
- *Miraculous Pics*: A bot that pairs random images with unrelated captions, mocking viral "amazing pics" accounts. Got decent traction despite being made in an hour.
- *Alt Universe Prompts*: Creates fanfiction prompts by combining random characters with aspirational tweets. Same effort as Miraculous Pics, but almost no one cared.
- *Two Headlines*: Generates absurd news headlines by swapping subjects between real headlines ("Google to buy Syria in 3.2 billion deal"). Became his most popular bot.
*Key statistics*: Out of 112 creative projects over 21 months, only 9 received significant press recognition. There was no correlation between effort invested and success achieved.
## The Coolest Example
He uses the most successful Kickstarter ever (a $13 million cooler) to illustrate randomness in success. The same inventor had launched the exact same product 6 months earlier—it failed completely. The differences between attempts were minimal, yet the outcome was $13 million different.
## The Conclusion
Kazemi argues there are two types of creative advice:
1. *How to buy more lottery tickets* (useful - this means making more work, improving your craft)
2. *How to win the lottery* (nonsense - claiming to know the secret formula for success)
His core message: Focus on making good work and making lots of it, but accept that recognition and commercial success are largely beyond your control. The typical narrative that successful creators give about their path to success is mostly post-hoc rationalization of what was essentially random luck.
The talk is both a critique of survivorship bias in creative career advice and an encouragement to keep creating without being attached to outcomes you can't control.
I have made the front page a few times, and I loved it. The discussion is so good, not to mention the random emails and LinkedIn connections. It's very validating when the topic would be too niche for other communities.
Having a high-visibility post on Reddit meant a stressful few hours and some of the most toxic interactions I've experienced.
Still happens here, especially when people publish open source libraries.
"Why should I use your library, when there's ABC that does XYZ much better?" and other variants, as if the original poster was selling something.
Doesn't happen as often when people publish final projects/products (even closed source).
Maybe it's just a dev thing. Some programming languages can have some really toxic fandom :D
I’ve had 2 blog posts hit the front page of HN and the top of popular subreddits.
The quality and type of comments were identical on both platforms.
HN specifically seemed to be commenting based on the title and other comments alone. The most common thread of discussion was clearly explained in the first paragraph.
I believe that all platforms with voting eventually become an echochamber. Unless they are partitioned into several smaller chambers, like reddit.
Here the partitioning also exists, but is invisible (only some people interact with programming posts, only some with company posts, ai stuff, politics and so on), so that gives a certain "illusion" of many viewpoints.
Illusion (imho) because I don't think those viewpoints interact with each other.
My theory is that smart people have a mischievous side and get banned pretty quick by reddits insane moderators, so you're left with the middle of the road petty gotcha people.
HN mods are pretty lenient overall and really seem to only ban after numerous rule violations after giving numerous warnings.
Smart^ people don't get banned on Reddit they just get downvoted.
People come to HN comments to have a constructive debate, so they are less likely to downvote for disagreement. I often upvote comments I disagree with if the point is well made.
People come to Reddit to have their beliefs confirmed. The subreddit structure reduces mixing between users with different beliefs, and where that mixing does occur, e.g. on the large subreddits, it tends to turn into a downvote battle.
^ It's not really about intelligence but openness to new ideas. You can have one without the other.
Hit the frontpage maybe 4-5 times, I concur that most people don't convert, especially if you shared a blog post related to your startup; but it's a seal of approval that unlocks a lot of things down the road.
A lot of newsletters, twitter accounts, youtubers, etc. will read the front page and highlight it in their respective medium. Usually, those ones are more niche, and the people who come are more interested. Not counting the SEO boost and the marketing opportunities to share that success on linkedin.
Same here!
I am now actually working in compilers, which is one thing I'm really passionate about, but not something I was doing professionaly. I managed to turn a toy project and some blog posts into an actual job at almost 40, so, thank you HN!
I work at ServiceNow, which sells an enterprise platform and a ton of products built on top of it.
Internal teams and customers can extend the platform by writing JavaScript, hence we have a JS runtime in the platform (the venerable https://github.com/mozilla/rhino/), which our team works on.
What was really interesting is seeing how many people are scraping the front page of hackernews and storing their data in public github repos. Dozens of them.
Embarrassingly, I used to submit my own website’s article. A few of them have hit the front-page of Hacker News. I remember, once submitting it and waiting for it to hit, when it did, I recorded a video of the first few minutes. Then I went to sleep.
> I’m on an adventure to create beautiful and meaningful products to improve the world for my daughters and their friends.
Keep sharing, please. From my POV there’s a lot of shallow, cliche, group-think-y sites / content shared on HN. If you’re true to this mission, yours would be a refreshing change. Thanks.
A post went viral here for a culture magazine I work for. It led to the writer getting employee of the month at a big all hands meeting, along with our host shutting down our Google indexing thinking that we were under attack.
It's a tough position to be in. I feel that I finally have some expertise worth sharing but at the same time I want to avoid backlash from the community for promoting my own content and projects. At the same time, I really do enjoy reading what others share and think without having to voice my own take. So when I miss the window, I miss the window.
For one popular project of mine that hit the front page I had a 2% sign-up rate. It was a free service that used GitHub for authentication, which likely helped.
I had a Netlify landing page (CDN), and the web app was a Django app on a single DigitalOcean droplet. I didn't see any complaints of performance issues / resource usage stayed low.
I hit the front page of HN about two years ago with https://andrew-quinn.me/fzf , and I concur with this list. Among other things it taught me the invaluable lesson that only a surprise $100 bill from my (excellent!) hosting provider could have that I really should optimize my GIFs and cache them before that happens.
As my father always says, experience is cheap at any cost!
I’ve had a couple of things make the FP. One was #1 for a while.
I submitted them both, but I don’t usually submit stuff, and most of my submissions are one-pointers. These were tutorials or side projects that I thought might be useful to folks. I guess some people agreed.
Most of my karma is comments. There’s really almost no value for me, in limelight. My work is usually “below the radar,” so to speak, and I’m retired. I’m not looking for work or notoriety. I actually kind of like hanging around the joint. I spent most of my career, being the dumbest guy in the room, and that’s sort of what I get, here.
Most likely a network thing. Changing browsers will not help. Changing a network might. If you have a dynamically allocated IP, just restart the router. Or try connecting using your mobile data plan (if you have one).
Agree with the gist of 1. & 2. but was hoping for a more analytic-scientific approach to measuring the impact of the HN Front Page. That is probably impossible though. If you invent github/sliced bread then hitting the front page might be the best thing to happen to your idea. If your profitable business of scamming grannies gets the same exposure it will probably be removed from the iOS/Android App Stores within minutes. Launching Dropbox here is likely somewhere in the middle.
I hit the front page with ClassicVideoPoker.com (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37763098) and got around 52k hits that day. That was over 1.5 years ago, and to this day, I still get a steady stream of users. A small percentage of them return daily to play, with some racking up hundreds of hours.
Unfortunately, I wasn't running any decent stats at the time, but I see now that I'm still getting referrals from "hackernewsletter," although I'm not sure of the source.
It was great to see the traction, but at the same time, it terrified me. I had all kinds of plans: logins, contests, a community, and new retro-styled games. Unfortunately, the "HN effect" paralyzed me. I was too afraid to push updates, fearing I might break something and lose the users I had. That fear persists even today, with a much smaller but extremely loyal user base.
My blog post reached #1 on HN two years ago. The 1000+ comments were extremely interesting and encouraging. I learned a lot and engaged in highly insightful discussions. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37650402
I can attest to the follow-on traffic. I had a showHN on the front page for a brief moment. A few weeks later it was featured in a popular Chinese newsletter. There's also been a few smaller spikes that is attributable to HN.
Not sure if "have a CDN" advice is as sure as is claimed. My projects site has been #1 on the front page many times, and my dinky little $3/mo VPS had no issues at all in any of those cases.
Back when I hosted my search engine on a PC out of my apartment, it survived several supposed HN death hugs.
Seems mostly to be a problem where your website is backed by a DBMS, especially when each page impression generates multiple queries. In that scenario, running out of connections probably isn't particularly difficult.
Only time I've actually been knocked offline was when Elon Musk tweeted a link to a blog post I made. That legit drove some real traffic. I'm not sure if it was the filedescriptor ulimit or the number of open connections that killed me, but I did actually blip for a few minutes.
A year or so ago, I posted a link that you can help Anna's Archive by seeding their torrents [0]. I monitored (eye-balled) their stats [1] to see whether there was a bump in seeding afterwards, and couldn't see one. So, the "low conversion" comment might be true.
I don't think you can draw any conclusions from this. Maybe that the avg HNer does not have feel like allocating 500TB of space and bandwidth to host copyrighted material...
Having made the front page more a few times, the value is really minimal. Yes, I've made sales from HN traffic, but not that much in the grand scheme of things.
But the value from all the links SEO wise was more valuable. If you make the front page normally people are going to post you in other places, translate it, or something else, which increases your SEO.
The hug of death isn't that large. I had a 5 euro DigitalOcean droplet running Nuxt, which handled 30k visitors in a single day without CloudFlare caching it. So if you have a decent setup you should be good.
I'm still happy that a few of my blog posts have hit the frontpage here. Two were rants about fake agile[1] and standups[2], which helped me feel not so unhappily alone at the state of the industry. There were others too, such as my post on why I think browser push notifications are terrible, another one was a stupid kludge to fix Cloudflare breaking my SVGs.
There is also another one about dark/light modes that made it to frontpage but got some pretty nasty comments which surprised me, especially from one person in particular who seemed to make it their mission to write absurd comment after absurd comment ironically acting like exactly the kind of person I described in my blog post.
It's always a pretty scary few minutes suddenly seeing a traffic spike, my usual thought is "oh no today isn't going to be good", which is mostly a thought process I have thanks to Reddit being incredibly toxic and unpleasant almost 100% of the time. Any time my blog posts have made it there I dread taking a look at the comments.
A few years ago, on my birthday, I quickly checked the visitor stats for a little side project I had started (r-exercises.com). Instead of the usual 2 or 3 live visitors, there were hundreds. It looked odd to me—more like a glitch—so I quickly returned to the party, serving food and drinks to my guests.
Later, while cleaning up after the party, I remembered the unusual spike in visitors and decided to check again. To my surprise, there were still hundreds of live visitors. The total visitor count for the day was around 10,000. After tracking down the source, I discovered that a really kind person had shared the directory/landing page I had created just a few days earlier—right here on Hacker News. It had made it to the front page, with around 200 upvotes and 40 comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12153811
For me, the value of hitting the HN front page was twofold. First, it felt like validation for my little side project, and it encouraged me to take it more seriously (despite having a busy daily schedule as a freelance data scientist). But perhaps more importantly, it broadened my horizons and introduced me to a whole new world of information, ideas, and discussions here on HN.
Thank you HN for this wonderful birthday gift!
Gee, today is my birthday (36). I've never managed to get anything I've built to the HN front page. Always wondered if that means my ideas just weren’t that interesting, or if it's just the luck of the draw.
*edited my original comment without mentioning my project*
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44961660 - Interesting project - how did you get into the wearables field? What was your background before setting up this start-up?
You had 36 years to learn proper social etiquette.
I think I've been on the HN front page something like 30 times now since August 2021, with maybe half of those hitting it out of the park and lingering for over a day.
There are real diminishing returns in terms of follow-up traffic and follow-up effects. As to be expected, but it's worth keeping in mind that this is something that generally happens over time as the novelty of whatever you're writing about wears off. The good part is that as part of this you'll gradually get more regular readers, so there's less pronounced feast-or-famine cycles.
(Here I don't measure visits as there's so much bot traffic noise especially on anything that hits HN, but mostly focus on whether I get actual engagement, if people reach out to me, send me emails and so on)
I think ultimately a blog post isn't interesting because it's on HN, it's on HN because it's interesting.
Tryharding with regards to the HN frontpage is more likely to come at a cost of writing quality, and thus reducing the likelihood of making the front page.
If HN had some kind of Hall of fame - you would be hanged there as a local (?) celebrity.
I hope we wouldn’t hang him... lol
Re: “HN is very fickle“
I have a model that, given a headline, predicts if the story will get >10 votes. It’s a terrible model, for a few reasons. The most fundamental is that if the same article is submitted 10 times it could get wildly different scores, that’s the way it does. The tail end of the model [1] is logistic regression because it deals gracefully with this kind of situation. I wish I knew how to treat this as a regression problem (predict the score), there is probably a better loss function than what I use, but when I treat it at as a regression problem I get an even worse model.
The highest score this model ever gives is 70% for something like “Richard Stallman is dead”
I have another model that predicts If the comment/score ratio > 0.5 which is about the average for the site. This is a much better model, close to the first recommender models I made. Trained on articles with score > 10 the input is less noisy for one thing. It’s how a learned y’all like to talk about cars.
[1] what attention folks call the “head”
> "HN is very fickle"
Darius Kazemi, Tiny Subversions - XOXO Festival (2014)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l_F9jxsfGCw
This is a transcript of a talk by Darius Kazemi at what appears to be a creative conference (likely XOXO). The talk is structured as an elaborate metaphor comparing creative success to winning the lottery.
## The Setup: "How I Won the Lottery"
Kazemi begins with a fictional story about becoming obsessed with lottery numbers as a child, eventually quitting his job at Lehman Brothers to focus full-time on lottery playing with a community of fellow enthusiasts. He claims this led to winning $140 million, complete with showing his "winning numbers" (lots of 9s and 3s) to the audience.
## The Reveal: Creative Success is Like the Lottery
He then reveals this was all a metaphor for how successful creative people typically tell their stories. The real message: *beyond a certain threshold of effort, creative success is largely random and out of your control*.
## Supporting Evidence
Kazemi demonstrates this through his own work creating "weird internet stuff" (Twitter bots and internet art):
- *Miraculous Pics*: A bot that pairs random images with unrelated captions, mocking viral "amazing pics" accounts. Got decent traction despite being made in an hour.
- *Alt Universe Prompts*: Creates fanfiction prompts by combining random characters with aspirational tweets. Same effort as Miraculous Pics, but almost no one cared.
- *Two Headlines*: Generates absurd news headlines by swapping subjects between real headlines ("Google to buy Syria in 3.2 billion deal"). Became his most popular bot.
*Key statistics*: Out of 112 creative projects over 21 months, only 9 received significant press recognition. There was no correlation between effort invested and success achieved.
## The Coolest Example
He uses the most successful Kickstarter ever (a $13 million cooler) to illustrate randomness in success. The same inventor had launched the exact same product 6 months earlier—it failed completely. The differences between attempts were minimal, yet the outcome was $13 million different.
## The Conclusion
Kazemi argues there are two types of creative advice: 1. *How to buy more lottery tickets* (useful - this means making more work, improving your craft) 2. *How to win the lottery* (nonsense - claiming to know the secret formula for success)
His core message: Focus on making good work and making lots of it, but accept that recognition and commercial success are largely beyond your control. The typical narrative that successful creators give about their path to success is mostly post-hoc rationalization of what was essentially random luck.
The talk is both a critique of survivorship bias in creative career advice and an encouragement to keep creating without being attached to outcomes you can't control.
I have made the front page a few times, and I loved it. The discussion is so good, not to mention the random emails and LinkedIn connections. It's very validating when the topic would be too niche for other communities.
Having a high-visibility post on Reddit meant a stressful few hours and some of the most toxic interactions I've experienced.
Can definitely concur about the Reddit part. Feels like commenters there are always looking for a gotcha
Still happens here, especially when people publish open source libraries. "Why should I use your library, when there's ABC that does XYZ much better?" and other variants, as if the original poster was selling something. Doesn't happen as often when people publish final projects/products (even closed source).
Maybe it's just a dev thing. Some programming languages can have some really toxic fandom :D
I’ve had 2 blog posts hit the front page of HN and the top of popular subreddits.
The quality and type of comments were identical on both platforms.
HN specifically seemed to be commenting based on the title and other comments alone. The most common thread of discussion was clearly explained in the first paragraph.
That is not all people say though, plenty of people are like you and will bring up dropbox etc in response to that.
The important part is that HN isn't an echochamber, you get many viewpoints here.
I believe that all platforms with voting eventually become an echochamber. Unless they are partitioned into several smaller chambers, like reddit. Here the partitioning also exists, but is invisible (only some people interact with programming posts, only some with company posts, ai stuff, politics and so on), so that gives a certain "illusion" of many viewpoints. Illusion (imho) because I don't think those viewpoints interact with each other.
My theory is that smart people have a mischievous side and get banned pretty quick by reddits insane moderators, so you're left with the middle of the road petty gotcha people.
HN mods are pretty lenient overall and really seem to only ban after numerous rule violations after giving numerous warnings.
Smart^ people don't get banned on Reddit they just get downvoted.
People come to HN comments to have a constructive debate, so they are less likely to downvote for disagreement. I often upvote comments I disagree with if the point is well made.
People come to Reddit to have their beliefs confirmed. The subreddit structure reduces mixing between users with different beliefs, and where that mixing does occur, e.g. on the large subreddits, it tends to turn into a downvote battle.
^ It's not really about intelligence but openness to new ideas. You can have one without the other.
Hit the frontpage maybe 4-5 times, I concur that most people don't convert, especially if you shared a blog post related to your startup; but it's a seal of approval that unlocks a lot of things down the road.
A lot of newsletters, twitter accounts, youtubers, etc. will read the front page and highlight it in their respective medium. Usually, those ones are more niche, and the people who come are more interested. Not counting the SEO boost and the marketing opportunities to share that success on linkedin.
I once got a job from a post on my blog that hit the front page. So the value to me was enormous.
Relevant:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7833251
That was over 11 years ago.
I still work there.
Same here! I am now actually working in compilers, which is one thing I'm really passionate about, but not something I was doing professionaly. I managed to turn a toy project and some blog posts into an actual job at almost 40, so, thank you HN!
If I might ask what does you employer need compiler experience for?
I work at ServiceNow, which sells an enterprise platform and a ton of products built on top of it. Internal teams and customers can extend the platform by writing JavaScript, hence we have a JS runtime in the platform (the venerable https://github.com/mozilla/rhino/), which our team works on.
Same here. And same day from posting to interviewing even.
same. except was an oss lib on github.
An open source project I was working on was on the front page for about 2 days:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44292103
And heres the analytics from that time:
https://imgur.com/XGsiot4
I don't reallly bother tracking sign ups as its a totally free app, but from then to now, it looks like i've picked up about 1600 new accounts.
my vibecharts [0] site got 35k views a few weeks back. Made it feel worth spending $22 on a domain for a joke.
0 - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44830684
What was really interesting is seeing how many people are scraping the front page of hackernews and storing their data in public github repos. Dozens of them.
Embarrassingly, I used to submit my own website’s article. A few of them have hit the front-page of Hacker News. I remember, once submitting it and waiting for it to hit, when it did, I recorded a video of the first few minutes. Then I went to sleep.
https://brajeshwar.com/2011/how-is-it-like-during-the-first-...
Now, I consider my site as something rather personal, bland, just my babbles, and kinda s**t compared to many of the ones that pops up on Hacker News.
Some of the best stuff I read on HN is submitted by the author's themselves - like Jake Seliger's posts from his blog
https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=jseliger
> I’m on an adventure to create beautiful and meaningful products to improve the world for my daughters and their friends.
Keep sharing, please. From my POV there’s a lot of shallow, cliche, group-think-y sites / content shared on HN. If you’re true to this mission, yours would be a refreshing change. Thanks.
A post went viral here for a culture magazine I work for. It led to the writer getting employee of the month at a big all hands meeting, along with our host shutting down our Google indexing thinking that we were under attack.
Previously:
The Value of Hitting the HN Front Page - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44584461 - July 2025 (6 comments)
This means that there is one more piece of advice: "If your post didn't hit the front page in the first attempt, try again later".
It's a tough position to be in. I feel that I finally have some expertise worth sharing but at the same time I want to avoid backlash from the community for promoting my own content and projects. At the same time, I really do enjoy reading what others share and think without having to voice my own take. So when I miss the window, I miss the window.
For one popular project of mine that hit the front page I had a 2% sign-up rate. It was a free service that used GitHub for authentication, which likely helped.
I had a Netlify landing page (CDN), and the web app was a Django app on a single DigitalOcean droplet. I didn't see any complaints of performance issues / resource usage stayed low.
That sounds like my preferred setup! I use a static site deployed to cloudfront backed by a Django app on Digital Ocean :)
It might not work for all applications, but it tends to hold up great against traffic spikes and the hosting costs stay in the low teens (USD)!
People fiddle with SEO with a lot of effort and some mixed success. While it takes a single solid hit at the HN (or Reddit) to get on the top.
Of course, it means that a post needs to have more than suitable keywords. So, I never sacrifice the quality of a post just too boost its SEO.
And the quality of the product must be good I guess? Or at least the right product at the right time
I hit the front page of HN about two years ago with https://andrew-quinn.me/fzf , and I concur with this list. Among other things it taught me the invaluable lesson that only a surprise $100 bill from my (excellent!) hosting provider could have that I really should optimize my GIFs and cache them before that happens.
As my father always says, experience is cheap at any cost!
I’ve had a couple of things make the FP. One was #1 for a while.
I submitted them both, but I don’t usually submit stuff, and most of my submissions are one-pointers. These were tutorials or side projects that I thought might be useful to folks. I guess some people agreed.
Most of my karma is comments. There’s really almost no value for me, in limelight. My work is usually “below the radar,” so to speak, and I’m retired. I’m not looking for work or notoriety. I actually kind of like hanging around the joint. I spent most of my career, being the dumbest guy in the room, and that’s sort of what I get, here.
OP, a friendly heads up: I'm stuck in a recaptcha loop when trying to visit your site on Chrome, Safari, and firefox.
Most likely a network thing. Changing browsers will not help. Changing a network might. If you have a dynamically allocated IP, just restart the router. Or try connecting using your mobile data plan (if you have one).
Agree with the gist of 1. & 2. but was hoping for a more analytic-scientific approach to measuring the impact of the HN Front Page. That is probably impossible though. If you invent github/sliced bread then hitting the front page might be the best thing to happen to your idea. If your profitable business of scamming grannies gets the same exposure it will probably be removed from the iOS/Android App Stores within minutes. Launching Dropbox here is likely somewhere in the middle.
I hit the front page with ClassicVideoPoker.com (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37763098) and got around 52k hits that day. That was over 1.5 years ago, and to this day, I still get a steady stream of users. A small percentage of them return daily to play, with some racking up hundreds of hours.
Unfortunately, I wasn't running any decent stats at the time, but I see now that I'm still getting referrals from "hackernewsletter," although I'm not sure of the source.
It was great to see the traction, but at the same time, it terrified me. I had all kinds of plans: logins, contests, a community, and new retro-styled games. Unfortunately, the "HN effect" paralyzed me. I was too afraid to push updates, fearing I might break something and lose the users I had. That fear persists even today, with a much smaller but extremely loyal user base.
My blog post reached #1 on HN two years ago. The 1000+ comments were extremely interesting and encouraging. I learned a lot and engaged in highly insightful discussions. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37650402
I can attest to the follow-on traffic. I had a showHN on the front page for a brief moment. A few weeks later it was featured in a popular Chinese newsletter. There's also been a few smaller spikes that is attributable to HN.
This post is pretty meta now that it's on the front page. A nice follow-up post would be:
The Value of 'The Value of Hitting the HN Front Page' Hitting the HN Front Page
I guess the value would be people might be more likely to prepare with CDNs or engage with comments etc. I wonder if that's measurable.
I made a map of all the request last time I hit the front page. Timestamp 1:40 in this video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SzpU8-jCV7k&t=100s
Not sure if "have a CDN" advice is as sure as is claimed. My projects site has been #1 on the front page many times, and my dinky little $3/mo VPS had no issues at all in any of those cases.
Back when I hosted my search engine on a PC out of my apartment, it survived several supposed HN death hugs.
Seems mostly to be a problem where your website is backed by a DBMS, especially when each page impression generates multiple queries. In that scenario, running out of connections probably isn't particularly difficult.
Only time I've actually been knocked offline was when Elon Musk tweeted a link to a blog post I made. That legit drove some real traffic. I'm not sure if it was the filedescriptor ulimit or the number of open connections that killed me, but I did actually blip for a few minutes.
related : https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41808941
A year or so ago, I posted a link that you can help Anna's Archive by seeding their torrents [0]. I monitored (eye-balled) their stats [1] to see whether there was a bump in seeding afterwards, and couldn't see one. So, the "low conversion" comment might be true.
[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40672215
[1] https://annas-archive.org/torrents
I don't think you can draw any conclusions from this. Maybe that the avg HNer does not have feel like allocating 500TB of space and bandwidth to host copyrighted material...
Having made the front page more a few times, the value is really minimal. Yes, I've made sales from HN traffic, but not that much in the grand scheme of things.
But the value from all the links SEO wise was more valuable. If you make the front page normally people are going to post you in other places, translate it, or something else, which increases your SEO.
The hug of death isn't that large. I had a 5 euro DigitalOcean droplet running Nuxt, which handled 30k visitors in a single day without CloudFlare caching it. So if you have a decent setup you should be good.
I'm still happy that a few of my blog posts have hit the frontpage here. Two were rants about fake agile[1] and standups[2], which helped me feel not so unhappily alone at the state of the industry. There were others too, such as my post on why I think browser push notifications are terrible, another one was a stupid kludge to fix Cloudflare breaking my SVGs.
There is also another one about dark/light modes that made it to frontpage but got some pretty nasty comments which surprised me, especially from one person in particular who seemed to make it their mission to write absurd comment after absurd comment ironically acting like exactly the kind of person I described in my blog post.
[1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31074861
[2]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40557347
It's always a pretty scary few minutes suddenly seeing a traffic spike, my usual thought is "oh no today isn't going to be good", which is mostly a thought process I have thanks to Reddit being incredibly toxic and unpleasant almost 100% of the time. Any time my blog posts have made it there I dread taking a look at the comments.
It's nice to see HN relatively safe from the likes of r/gamedev ChatGPT-generated "postmortem post" spray-and-pray marketing.
Yet another "Hitting HN = 30k visits" breakdown from a friend of mine (in 2022): https://www.reproof.app/blog/the-hacker-news-effect